Market overview

Mixed Aug 28, 2:00 PM

Markets freeze ahead of Warsh at Jackson Hole — rate hike risk caps Nvidia-fuelled equity bounce

The dominant macro force is Fed policy uncertainty: with US CPI at 3.7% and half the FOMC favouring another hike, markets are paralysed ahead of Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole address. Thursday's Nvidia-driven tech rally is losing steam as rising yields — driven by US fiscal deficit fears — weigh on growth assets and keep the dollar bid, creating a clear cross-Atlantic divide between resilient European indices and a stuttering Wall Street.

Sectors

Equities Bullish ·Commodities Neutral ·Crypto Bearish ·FX Neutral

Top movers

What is moving today

CAC 40 CAC leads European outperformance as EU equities decouple from US tech jitters — European stocks extend gains on improving regional PMI data while Wall Street treads water pre-Warsh. ↗ +0.99%
Silver Silver's +1.83% surge — outpacing flat gold — signals industrial demand optimism from strong US PMI data at 56.0, while also serving as a hedge against stagflation risk ahead of the Fed speech. ↗ +1.83%
WTI Crude Oil WTI drops 1.28% as sticky-rate fears dampen global demand outlook, a hawkish Fed path strengthens the dollar, and China's July fixed-asset investment slumping 6.7% year-over-year dims the world's largest oil importer's appetite. ↘ -1.28%

Main risk

Fed Chair Warsh delivers a more explicitly hawkish Jackson Hole message than priced — confirming a Q4 2026 rate hike — which would trigger a simultaneous selloff in equities, gold, and crypto while spiking USD/JPY beyond 162 and inverting the current EU/US equity divergence.

Watch today

What to watch today

  • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh keynote speech at Jackson Hole Symposium — approximately 10:00 AM ET / 15:00 BST; the single most market-moving event of the week
  • US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Final, August) — approximately 10:00 AM ET; will be scrutinised alongside PMI data for confirmation of consumer resilience vs. inflation squeeze
  • European session close (17:30 BST) — watch whether CAC +0.99% and DAX +0.55% gains hold or are wiped by a hawkish Warsh reaction rippling across the Atlantic into close

Briefings

All 17 markets

S&P 500 Bullish
7,767.63 USD

7,738 consolidates at all-time highs — momentum slows but no distribution; a clean hold above 7,600 (50-day MA) keeps th...

Nasdaq 100 Bullish
29,739.40 USD

29,599 stalls just below the 30,000 round-number ceiling — a clean daily close above flips the bias to fresh ATH extensi...

Dow Jones Bullish
53,774.10 USD

53,658 consolidates inside a narrow Friday range; break above 54,200 prior session high opens 55,000 round-number target...

DAX 40 Bullish
26,604.47 EUR

26,000 breakout holds for third consecutive week; next technical resistance at 27,000 round number. Sell-off in oil (-1....

FTSE 100 Neutral
10,823.10 GBP

10,800 round-number floor holds for now, but FTSE trails European peers sharply — DAX and CAC outperforming by 60-100 bp...

CAC 40 Bullish
8,417.50 EUR

8,405 trades above the 50-day MA at 8,320 and resistance-turned-support at 8,350 — next test is the 2026 swing high at 8...

Gold Bullish
4,579.09 USD

$4,600 is the line — bulls need a daily close above to confirm extension toward $4,750; failure re-opens $4,480 50-day M...

Crude Oil (WTI) Bearish
82.46 USD

$82.22 sits in a compression zone between $80.50 support (50-day MA) and $84.00 resistance (200-day MA). A daily close o...

Silver Bullish
69.93 USD

$70.67 clears prior resistance cluster — next technical magnet is $72.50 (2025 swing high). Gold flat at $4,599 while si...

Bitcoin Bearish
79,551.50 USD

80,000 rejected twice this week; 200-day MA at ~82,500 caps recovery attempts. Holding above 78,000 Fib support is the o...

Ethereum Neutral
2,513.50 USD

$2,500 round number holds as pivot — break below flips focus to $2,320 (200-day MA); reclaim of $2,650 (50-day MA) neede...

EUR/USD Bearish
1.16 USD

1.1650 EMA50 support under siege — break below targets 1.1600 round number, then 1.1560 Aug swing low. Double top at 1.1...

GBP/USD Neutral
1.36 USD

1.3600 round number caps the rally; break above opens 1.3750 (2024 swing high). Failure to hold 1.3500 flips trend. Mont...

USD/JPY Bullish
159.87 JPY

159.63 sits just below 160.00 — a level that triggered BOJ intervention threats in 2024. Break above 160.50 resistance o...

USD/CHF Bearish
0.81 CHF

0.8000 is a major round-number support floor — a daily close below triggers accelerated selling toward the 2023 low at 0...

AUD/USD Bullish
0.72 USD

0.7200 round-number support holds; break above 0.7250 April 2026 swing high opens 0.7350. Oil dip to $82.2 is the near-t...

USD/CAD Bearish
1.39 CAD

1.3800 round number is the fulcrum — break below 50-day MA at 1.3760 opens 1.3680 2026 swing low; rejection of 1.3850 20...

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This market overview was generated automatically by AI and published on Aug 28, 2026, 2:00 PM. For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.