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USD/CHF

Bearish

0.81 CHF ▼ -0.04%

Analysis from Aug 14, 2026, 8:31 PM

0.8100 is last ditch support; break opens 0.7900. CHF safe-haven bid reinforced by Gold +0.5% today.

0.8100 holds multi-year lows — EUR/USD at 1.1568 and Gold at 4,372 confirm broad USD weakness.

Main Risk

SNB FX Intervention Risk

SNB has intervened to weaken CHF before; 0.8100 extreme may trigger jawboning or action.

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Hard Stop: 0.83 — Break above 0.8280 (Aug 2026 swing high) invalidates bearish trend structure.

Support 2: 0.81 — 2023 cycle low zone

Support 1: 0.81 — Round number / multi-year low

Resistance 1: 0.82 — 50-day MA

Resistance 2: 0.83 — Aug 2026 swing high

Bull Target 1: 0.84 — 200-day MA

Bull Target 2: 0.85 — Key round number / Q2 pivot

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🐻 CHF Strength Accelerates Below 0.8100

0.8100 lost opens 0.7900; USD weakness and CHF haven demand drive the move.

🐂 SNB Intervention Sparks USD Bounce

SNB action or strong US data needed; rally capped at 0.8350 (200-day MA).

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Fed Rate Cut Cycle — Fed cuts compress USD yield advantage; DXY downtrend weighs on USDCHF at multi-year lows.

CHF Safe-Haven Demand — Gold at 4,372 (+0.5%) signals risk-off — CHF bid strengthens alongside precious metals.

SNB Policy Divergence — SNB near zero rates limits CHF weakness; rate differential vs. Fed narrows, pressuring pair lower.

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📅 US Retail Sales – next week (est. Aug 18, 2026)

📅 SNB quarterly assessment – Sep 2026

📅 US CPI print – Sep 2026

📅 Fed FOMC meeting – Sep 2026

Bearish / Sell Rallies — Sell rallies into 0.8180 (50-day MA); hold shorts targeting 0.7900 with stop at 0.8280.

Trend is down, USD broadly weak, CHF haven bid intact. Only SNB intervention flips the setup — stop at 0.8280.

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Full analysis in the app