⚡

Nasdaq 100

Bullish

30,051.50 USD ▲ +0.02%

Analysis from Aug 14, 2026, 8:18 PM

30,000 round-number support holds — break above 30,500 resistance opens path to 31,000 all-time extension.

30,036 holds above 30,000 round number; index up ~60% from 2024 lows with trend intact above 200-day MA.

Main Risk

10-Year Treasury Yield Surge

Yield spike above 5.0% compresses tech multiples; NDX historically sells off 8–12% in such moves.

Full analysis with price ladder, scenarios & outlook in the app. Get the App

Price Ladder

Hard Stop: 28,800.00 — Break of 200-day MA ~28,800 invalidates bull trend; signals structural reversal.

Support 2: 29,400.00 — 50-day MA est.

Support 1: 30,000.00 — 30,000 round number / psych support

Resistance 1: 30,500.00 — Near-term swing high / range top

Resistance 2: 31,000.00 — All-time high extension zone

Bull Target 1: 30,500.00 — Swing high / range breakout

Bull Target 2: 31,000.00 — Round number / ATH extension

🔒

Full analysis in the app

Unlock now

Scenarios

🐻 Tech Multiple Compression

Yield shock cracks 30,000; 200-day MA at 28,800 becomes the line in the sand.

🐂 Breakout Above 30,500

30,500 clears on soft inflation; momentum carries index to 31,000 ATH zone.

🔒

Full analysis in the app

Unlock now

Macro Drivers

Fed Rate Policy Trajectory — Fed on hold but soft CPI would revive cut bets, lifting NDX growth-stock premium.

USD Weakness vs EUR/GBP — EUR/USD +0.4% to 1.1568 today; weaker dollar historically supports NDX earnings repatriation.

Gold at $4,372 — Risk-On Signal — Gold +0.5% alongside equities flat signals inflation hedge demand, not risk-off flight.

BTC Weakness (-0.7%) — Crypto risk appetite slipping; leads tech sentiment by 12–24 hrs in recent market regimes.

Oil Stable at $81.6 — Flat energy costs reduce stagflation risk, supportive for tech margins near-term.

🔒

Full analysis in the app

Unlock now

Key Dates & TradingBrief View

📅 US CPI / PPI next release — watch for sub-2.8% print

📅 Fed FOMC minutes — next scheduled release

📅 Mega-cap tech earnings — next quarterly cycle

📅 US Retail Sales data — next release

📅 Jackson Hole Fed Symposium — late Aug 2026

Cautiously Bullish — Hold long above 30,000; add on confirmed break of 30,500 with stop at 29,400.

Trend intact above 200-day MA; 30,000 holds. Soft macro data needed to clear 30,500 resistance and extend rally.

🔒

Full analysis in the app

Unlock now

View all past Nasdaq 100 analyses →