Analysis archive
CAC 40
Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →
Sep 11, 2026, 8:25 PM
8,259 (2024 all-time high) is the line in the sand — two failed closes above it keep the index in a 300-point consolidation range; a clean weekly close above unlocks 8,500+, a break below 8,050 opens a retest of the 200-day MA at 7,980.
Sep 11, 2026, 1:30 PM
8,194 sits in no-man's land: prior support at 8,200 is now resistance. Reclaiming 8,300 needed to confirm recovery; failure re-opens 8,050 (200-day MA). Middle East risk premium embedded in luxury and defense names.
Sep 11, 2026, 3:33 AM
8,113 sits between the 50-day MA (~8,050) and Aug swing high (8,200) — neither side has conviction. A weekly close above 8,200 opens 8,400; a break below 8,050 targets the 200-day MA at 7,900.
Sep 10, 2026, 8:24 PM
8,116 is mid-range: bulls need a close above 8,250 (July swing resistance) to confirm extension; bears need a break of 8,000 round-number support to open a retest of 7,820 Fib 38.2%.
Sep 10, 2026, 1:55 PM
8,050 50-day MA is the line in the sand: a close below flips the near-term bias bearish and opens 7,880. Above 8,200 the 2026 high at 8,420 becomes the magnet.
Sep 10, 2026, 3:33 AM
8,100 is the fulcrum: holds above it and the bull structure stays intact toward 8,259; break opens 7,980 (50-day MA). EUR/USD strength at 1.1637 is the silent drag on LVMH-led weightings.
Sep 9, 2026, 8:58 PM
8,154 holds above the 8,100 July pivot but momentum is negative — ECB rate decision Thursday is the binary event that decides whether 8,000 or 8,400 prints next.
Sep 9, 2026, 1:25 PM
8,200 round number breached intraday; next hard support is 8,050 (Aug swing low). ECB hawkish surprise Thursday could accelerate the flush toward 7,900 200-day MA.
Sep 9, 2026, 3:34 AM
8,200 is the line: break below triggers July swing-low test at 8,050. ECB rate decision Thu Sep 11 is the binary gate — a hawkish surprise accelerates the slide; no hike keeps 8,306 resistance in play.
Sep 8, 2026, 8:30 PM
8,250 is the last line before a test of July swing low at 8,100; ECB meeting Thursday — a hawkish +25 bps signal could break that floor fast. SocGen -2.4% today flags sector-wide stress.
Sep 8, 2026, 1:25 PM
8,312 stalls in no-man's-land: CAC VIX at 52-week high (18.96), ECB hike risk pressures banks and rate-sensitives; break below 8,200 opens 8,050 quickly.
Sep 8, 2026, 3:32 AM
8,307 trapped between 200-day MA support at 8,150 and ATH resistance at 8,522. Break either level triggers the next 300-point move. EUR/USD at 1.1625 caps luxury/export earnings; Oil at $90.9 adds cost pressure.
Sep 7, 2026, 8:25 PM
8,297 sits in no-man's land: 8,200 (200-day MA) caps downside; 8,480 (2025 swing high) caps upside. A break of either level sets the next 300-pt leg — watch EUR/USD at 1.1622 for direction.
Sep 7, 2026, 1:23 PM
8,306 trades between 8,200 support (50-day MA) and 8,400 resistance (2026 swing high) — break of either defines the next 200-point leg; no clear catalyst yet.
Sep 7, 2026, 3:35 AM
8,282 close-Thursday acts as near-term pivot; break above 8,370 Sept 1 high needed to resume trend, while France's budget deficit >5% GDP and ECB hawkishness constrain a sustained re-rating.
Sep 4, 2026, 8:28 PM
8,281 trapped between 200-day MA support (~7,950) and 2024 ATH resistance (~8,500); a weekly close above 8,400 is needed to confirm trend resumption toward 8,700.
Sep 4, 2026, 1:25 PM
8,255 — CAC sits in no-man's land between 200-day MA support at 8,100 and August swing-high resistance at 8,320. EUR/USD at 1.1600 and oil at $88.9 keep LVMH and TotalEnergies under pressure. Break either level to set direction.
Sep 4, 2026, 3:33 AM
8,300 round-number cap unchallenged for multiple sessions — break above on volume opens 8,450 all-time high zone; failure keeps mean-reversion risk toward 200-day MA near 8,050 alive.
Sep 3, 2026, 8:24 PM
8,281 is mid-range — break above 8,400 (2026 swing high) opens 8,600; failure below 8,100 (50-day MA) shifts bias bearish. EUR strength at 1.1629 is the key headwind for CAC's export-heavy constituents.
Sep 3, 2026, 1:37 PM
8,300 round-number cap holds as CAC underperforms DAX by 60bps on Sept 3 — break above clears path to 8,450 Aug high; failure risks flush to 50-day MA near 8,100.
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