Analysis archive

CAC 40

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Sep 22, 2026, 1:22 PM
8,190 trades above the 8,050 breakout pivot — bull thesis intact while above the 50-day MA at 8,100. Next test is the 2026 high at 8,340. Failure to hold 8,100 on any pullback flips bias to neutral.
Bullish
Sep 22, 2026, 3:32 AM
8,150 acts as the pivot: a close above 8,250 resistance opens 8,500; a break below 8,000 exposes the 200-day MA near 7,850. EUR strength at 1.1471 is the swing factor for luxury and auto earnings.
Neutral
Sep 21, 2026, 8:23 PM
8,200 round-number resistance capping upside — break above 2024 ATH at 8,259 needed to confirm fresh leg; failure here risks retest of 50-day MA near 7,980.
Neutral
Sep 21, 2026, 1:24 PM
8,147 tests the Sept 2026 range high — break above 8,200 round number opens the 2024 all-time high at 8,259. Failure there keeps the index in a 3-month consolidation band.
Bullish
Sep 21, 2026, 3:32 AM
8,090 bounce lacks conviction — six consecutive weekly declines, elevated implied vol, and France's 2027 deficit budget standoff keep sellers in control above 8,200 resistance.
Bearish
Sep 18, 2026, 8:28 PM
8,100 is the line: break above opens 8,350 (2026 swing high); failure sends CAC back to the 7,900 50-day MA. Gold at 4,382 and EUR/USD at 1.1487 signal risk-on flows that could tip the balance higher.
Neutral
Sep 18, 2026, 1:26 PM
8,086 sits in the 8,000–8,200 compression zone. Break below 8,000 round number opens a retest of the 200-day MA near 7,880; only a close above 8,200 flips the short-term bias back to bullish.
Bearish
Sep 18, 2026, 3:33 AM
8,200 cap intact: four consecutive sessions unable to close above this level. Break higher needs a hard catalyst; failure risks a retest of 8,050 50-day MA before month-end rebalancing.
Neutral
Sep 17, 2026, 8:23 PM
8,118 Wed bounce fails to reclaim 8,200 — index trapped below 50-day MA at ~8,250 with CAC VIX at 52-week high of 18.96, signalling persistent hedging demand ahead of Fed decision outcome.
Bearish
Sep 17, 2026, 1:23 PM
8,200 is the immediate ceiling — break and hold above opens 8,350 (2026 swing high). EUR/USD at 1.1486 compresses export margins but ECB easing cycle underpins domestic demand stocks.
Bullish
Sep 17, 2026, 3:33 AM
8,175 is a pivot: break above 8,300 (200-day MA) opens 8,550; failure below 8,050 (Sep swing low) risks retest of 7,900 zone. Fed guidance today is the binary gate.
Neutral
Sep 16, 2026, 8:22 PM
8,200 resistance intact — bull case needs a clean close above that level; below 8,050 (200-day MA) flips bias bearish. EUR/USD at 1.1467 (-0.7%) pressures luxury and export earnings.
Neutral
Sep 16, 2026, 1:23 PM
8,090 Sep 15 low is the line in the sand — hold it and the bounce extends; lose it and the 200-day MA near 7,950 becomes the next magnet with Fed decision adding binary intraday risk.
Neutral
Sep 16, 2026, 3:33 AM
8,115 sits mid-range: 8,200 round-number resistance caps upside; 8,000 psychological support anchors the floor. No decisive momentum until one of those breaks on volume.
Neutral
Sep 15, 2026, 8:39 PM
8,259 ATH caps upside; 7,950 (200-day MA) anchors downside. Until one breaks, CAC trades sideways — EUR/USD at 1.1540 compresses luxury-sector earnings, adding drag to any breakout attempt.
Neutral
Sep 15, 2026, 1:22 PM
8,104 sits between 50-day MA support near 7,980 and the key 8,200 range ceiling — a directional break of either defines the next 300-point leg.
Neutral
Sep 15, 2026, 3:36 AM
8,131 sits between key support at the 50-day MA near 7,980 and resistance at the 2026 swing high at 8,254 — a break either side sets the next 200+ point leg. EUR/USD 1.1540 and oil $99 are the live swing factors.
Neutral
Sep 14, 2026, 8:47 PM
8,132 holds above the 50-day MA (~8,050) but resistance clusters at 8,200–8,259 cap the upside; EUR/USD at 1.1547 (-0.4%) squeezes export earnings for luxury and industrial names.
Neutral
Sep 14, 2026, 1:55 PM
8,100 round-number support tested now; a daily close below exposes the 200-day MA near 7,950. Oil at $100 squeezes margins for Air France, Totalenergies offsets partially — net drag on CAC earnings estimates.
Bearish
Sep 14, 2026, 3:34 AM
8,100 round number and 50-day MA (~8,080) form the critical bull-bear line. Hold above both and the index can probe 8,300; lose them and 7,900 opens fast.
Neutral
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