Analysis archive
EUR/USD
Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM
1.1600 is the line in the sand: four consecutive sessions of rejection here cap near-term upside. Break above opens 1.1750; failure risks a pullback to 1.1400 200-day MA support.
Sep 11, 2026, 1:36 PM
1.1600 acting as pivot; break below flips bias to 1.1540 (50-day MA). Gold at 4,388 and JPY strength signal risk-off USD selling, but EUR bulls need a close above 1.1650 to regain momentum.
Sep 11, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1650 resistance caps the rally; a daily close above it opens 1.1800 (2023 high). Below 1.1530 (50-day MA), bulls lose structural control and 1.1380 comes into view.
Sep 10, 2026, 8:30 PM
1.1610 holds for now, but rejection at 1.1700 round-number resistance with gold down 1.8% signals risk-off USD demand — break of 1.1550 opens 1.1400 38.2% Fib.
Sep 10, 2026, 2:05 PM
1.1600 pivots the short-term structure — hold it and 1.1640 resistance is back in play; break it and 1.1550 100-day MA becomes the line in the sand with ECB guidance void creating a vacuum.
Sep 10, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1637 consolidates above 1.1600 round support; break above 1.1720 April 2023 high opens 1.1900. USD/JPY softness at 153.4 confirms broad dollar retreat — EUR benefits directly.
Sep 9, 2026, 9:08 PM
ECB decision Thursday — a hawkish hold or further rate signal pushes EUR above 1.1640 resistance and opens 1.1700. USD softness and gold at $4,397 confirm dollar bears in control near-term.
Sep 9, 2026, 1:31 PM
1.1648 consolidates above 1.1600 while gold at $4,413 and oil at $93.7 signal risk-off USD selling; a clean break above 1.1700 opens 1.1750 2024 high — failure stalls at 1.1680 intraday resistance.
Sep 9, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1631 holds above 1.1600 key round support; break above 1.1680 May swing high opens 1.1800 target. Dollar broadly offered as USD/JPY -0.3% and gold +0.5% signal risk-off dollar selling.
Sep 8, 2026, 8:35 PM
1.1600 is the fulcrum: NFP-driven 40-pip drop was fully retraced, but ECB and US CPI this week set the next directional break. Neither side has conviction above 1.1650 or below 1.1560.
Sep 8, 2026, 1:31 PM
1.1650 rejected Monday after Eurozone data spike — pair pinned between ECB decision Thu and US CPI; break either side determines next 100-pip leg.
Sep 8, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1625 holds as near-term base — a daily close above 1.1680 opens the 2022 swing high at 1.1495... no: confirmed above 1.1500 resistance cluster targets 1.1750 next. Gold +0.7% and yen strength confirm risk-off USD selling; EUR benefits directly.
Sep 7, 2026, 8:30 PM
1.1622 trades near multi-year highs — break and close above 1.1650 opens the 2023 peak at 1.1275... wait: 1.1750 is next key resistance; failure returns price to 1.1500 breakout support fast.
Sep 7, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.1630 seller zone caps upside — rejection here twice this week; ECB Sep 10 decision is the next binary catalyst that resolves direction toward 1.1700 or 1.1550.
Sep 7, 2026, 3:42 AM
1.1611 consolidates above 1.1600 pivot — a clean weekly close above 1.1650 opens the 2023 high at 1.1275... no, targets 1.1800. Dollar softness structural; ECB rate path is the key swing variable near-term.
Sep 4, 2026, 8:34 PM
1.1613 rejection off 1.1700 round-number resistance signals near-term dollar recovery; hold below 1.1650 keeps bears in control targeting 1.1480 Fibonacci 38.2% of 2025 rally.
Sep 4, 2026, 1:32 PM
1.1600 acts as pivot: bulls need a weekly close above 1.1650 to open 1.1720; bears need a break of 1.1540 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement to shift momentum. Friday NFP or Fed speaker risk keeps range intact for now.
Sep 4, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1628 trades near multi-year highs; break above 1.1700 round resistance opens 1.1850 (2023 swing high). Failure to clear 1.17 by end of Sept risks pullback to 1.1450 50-day MA.
Sep 3, 2026, 8:30 PM
1.1629 holds above the 2025 breakout zone near 1.1500 — sustained dollar weakness, with USD/JPY at 155.8 and falling, keeps the path open to the 1.17 round-number target.
Sep 3, 2026, 1:43 PM
1.1594 EMA defending near-term bull structure; NFP Friday is the binary catalyst — beat risks flush to 1.1520, miss opens 1.1700 retest.
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