Analysis archive
EUR/USD
Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →
Sep 3, 2026, 3:46 AM
1.1600 round number acting as near-term pivot — sustained close above it opens 1.1700 (2022 swing high). USD softness reinforced by gold +0.9% and yen rally; EUR momentum intact while 1.1500 holds.
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM
1.1600 round number caps near-term upside — break and hold above opens 1.1750 (2023 swing high). Gold surging +1.4% and USD/JPY falling 1% confirm broad USD weakness, a structural tailwind for EUR/USD.
Sep 2, 2026, 2:05 PM
1.16 round number capping upside; break above confirmed only on daily close over 1.1650 (2026 range highs). Failure to hold 1.1530 (50-day MA) reopens 1.1450 retracement support.
Sep 1, 2026, 8:32 PM
1.1580 channel support holds short-term fate — break below opens 1.1480 Aug swing low. Eurozone Aug HICP due today; weak print accelerates USD bid with Fed at 3.75% vs ECB at 2.40%.
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.1550 (50-day MA) is the first line in the sand — lose it and 1.1480 opens fast. USD bid is broad: JPY, GBP, EUR all lower while oil spikes, compressing EUR purchasing power advantage.
Sep 1, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1600 is the pivot — bulls need a daily close above 1.1650 to target 1.1750; a break below 1.1550 opens 1.1400 quickly. Dollar tone and ECB-Fed divergence drive direction from here.
Aug 31, 2026, 8:30 PM
1.1616 consolidates near multi-year resistance at 1.17 — break and hold opens 1.20; failure reverses to 1.1450 50-day MA. Direction hinges on upcoming US jobs and ISM data.
Aug 31, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.1600 psychological level holds as immediate pivot — break and close above 1.1650 (May 2025 swing high) opens the path to 1.1800. Failure re-tests 1.1500 weekly support.
Aug 31, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1600 round number holds as near-term pivot; a clean close above 1.1650 resistance opens 1.1750 — the 2024 swing high. Dollar weakness driven by Fed easing cycle underpins the pair against a backdrop of broad risk-off equity selling.
Aug 28, 2026, 9:07 PM
1.1586 fails to hold 1.16 handle on a Friday close — dollar bid accelerates with gold and crypto both down 3%+, signalling a broad risk-off USD rally that targets 1.1480 next.
Aug 28, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.1650 EMA50 support under siege — break below targets 1.1600 round number, then 1.1560 Aug swing low. Double top at 1.1712 caps any recovery; Fed Jackson Hole tone is the binary trigger this session.
Aug 28, 2026, 3:40 AM
1.1649 sits in no-man's land between 1.15 200-week MA floor and 1.17 multi-year resistance — a daily close above 1.17 or below 1.15 is needed to set the next 200-pip directional leg.
Aug 27, 2026, 9:06 PM
1.1700 round-number resistance tested flat after strong multi-month rally; break and weekly close above opens 1.1850 2023 swing high. Failure here risks pullback to 50-day MA near 1.1450.
Aug 26, 2026, 8:31 PM
1.1700 capped the rally; daily close below 1.1650 opens a retest of 1.1580 200-day MA. USD bid confirmed across majors — GBP/USD -0.4%, EUR/USD -0.2% — while US equities hold near all-time highs, reducing safe-haven EUR demand.
Aug 26, 2026, 1:47 PM
1.1656 tests the 10-day MA — a daily close below 1.1640 opens a retest of the 1.1550 June consolidation base. Hold above 1.1640 keeps the broader uptrend intact toward 1.1800.
Aug 26, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1750 is the gatekeeper — rejection there keeps bears in control toward 1.1580 (100-day MA); only a daily close above flips the bias to a retest of 1.1900.
Aug 25, 2026, 8:29 PM
1.17 handle defended for second consecutive session; break above 1.1750 opens 2022 resistance at 1.1900. Dollar weakness driven by falling real yields keeps EUR bid near-term.
Aug 25, 2026, 1:31 PM
1.17 psychological resistance tested — sustained close above triggers acceleration toward 2025 high at 1.1850. USD weakness from Fed's on-hold stance vs. ECB's higher-for-longer posture drives the bid.
Aug 24, 2026, 8:32 PM
1.17 caps intraday — break and close above flips bias to 1.1850; failure risks pullback to 1.1480 50-day MA. Gold at $4,651 and soft USD across the board keep downside shallow.
Aug 24, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.17 holds as bull control line — break above 1.1750 opens 1.1850 measured by 2024-2025 base. Gold at 4,674 and BTC +2.4% confirm broad USD weakness; risk is a squeeze back to 1.1550 50-day MA on any surprise Fed hawkishness.
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