Analysis archive

EUR/USD

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Sep 22, 2026, 1:27 PM
1.1500 is acting as a ceiling — break and close above 1.1550 (2024 swing high) needed to confirm trend extension; failure here keeps a pullback to 1.1350 (50-day MA) on the table.
Neutral
Sep 22, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1500 round number confirmed as support; next resistance at 1.1600 (2023 high). Dollar index soft amid Fed pause expectations and elevated Oil supporting EUR terms-of-trade. Bulls need weekly close above 1.1500 to validate breakout.
Bullish
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 PM
1.1500 round number rejected intraday — pair now trades 1.1465, below prior swing resistance; a daily close under 1.1450 opens a retest of the 1.1380 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement.
Bearish
Sep 21, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.1500 capping gains — break and hold above triggers a run at 1.1600 (2025 swing high). Failure to clear sends price back to 1.1350 (50-day MA). Direction decided by next Fed/ECB guidance shift.
Neutral
Sep 21, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1477 trades below key 1.15 round resistance — sustained close above flips bias bullish toward 1.1600. Failure here reopens 1.1320 50-day MA. Oil drop to $93.9 limits USD safe-haven bid, complicating the setup.
Neutral
Sep 18, 2026, 8:33 PM
1.1487 holds below 20-day EMA (1.1564) after FOMC hike — close above 1.1564 needed to neutralise near-term bear pressure; failure re-targets 1.1400.
Bearish
Sep 18, 2026, 1:31 PM
1.1466 sits in a compression zone between 1.1420 (50-day MA) and 1.1550 (2025 swing high). European equities sliding 1.0–1.2% signals risk-off that could tip the pair toward dollar strength.
Neutral
Sep 18, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.15 psychological resistance tested — a weekly close above it opens the 2023 high near 1.1275... wait, EUR/USD at 1.1484 is already above 1.15 on the snapshot; momentum stays bullish while 1.1400 holds as intraday support.
Bullish
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 PM
1.15 round-number resistance tested — sustained close above triggers extension toward 2022 swing high at 1.1640. USD/JPY sliding to 156.0 confirms broad dollar softness; EUR/USD base is solid above 1.1350 Fib support.
Bullish
Sep 17, 2026, 1:28 PM
1.1500 round number cleared intraday; sustaining above opens 1.1600 (2023 swing high). USD/JPY -0.4% and Gold +2.3% confirm broad dollar weakness — EUR bid likely extends if risk stays on.
Bullish
Sep 17, 2026, 3:38 AM
1.1500 round number acting as pivot — break above 1.1534 June swing high opens 1.1600; failure below 1.1440 200-day MA targets 1.1350 prior consolidation zone.
Neutral
Sep 16, 2026, 8:28 PM
1.1467 now below key 1.1500 round support — next structural floor is 1.1380 (June swing low). USD/JPY +0.7% and gold -0.7% confirm a dollar-led move; any bounce into 1.1500–1.1520 is a sell zone, not a recovery signal.
Bearish
Sep 16, 2026, 1:29 PM
1.1537 sits between 1.1500 floor and 1.1600 ceiling — a break of either resolves the range. Gold +1.4% pressures USD mildly bullish for EUR; oil -2.1% cuts inflation risk and reduces Fed pressure to stay tight.
Neutral
Sep 16, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1544 consolidates below the 2026 swing high near 1.1620 — break above opens 1.1750. Gold surging +1% and oil sliding -1.5% signal USD softness that underpins EUR strength.
Bullish
Sep 15, 2026, 8:46 PM
1.1540 trades inside a tight 1.1480–1.1600 range; a daily close above 1.1600 opens 1.1750, while a break below 1.1480 targets 1.1350 200-day MA.
Neutral
Sep 15, 2026, 1:27 PM
1.1500 round-number support holds, but four failed tests of 1.1600 confirm a ceiling — break either side resolves a multi-week compression; bias tilts neutral until one level cracks on volume.
Neutral
Sep 15, 2026, 3:41 AM
1.1500 is the pivot: a daily close below opens 1.1430 (50-day MA); above 1.1580 targets the 2026 swing high at 1.1620. Risk-reward favours waiting for a confirmed break before adding exposure.
Neutral
Sep 14, 2026, 8:52 PM
1.1570 pivot lost intraday — next structural support at 1.1480 (June swing low). USD bid broad-based: DXY strength confirmed by GBP/USD -0.2%, USD/JPY +0.6%. A daily close below 1.1500 opens 1.1380 Fib zone.
Bearish
Sep 14, 2026, 2:06 PM
1.1500 round-number support tested now — a daily close below flips near-term bias to 1.1380 (May swing low). USD broad bid confirmed by USD/JPY breaking 154 and gold selling off 1.9% simultaneously.
Bearish
Sep 14, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1575 now acting as intraday pivot; failure to reclaim 1.1600 (round number / recent high) opens a retest of 1.1480 weekly support. Oil shock is the key USD tailwind today.
Bearish
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