Analysis archive

EUR/USD

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Oct 1, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1300 pivot holds for now — a daily close below triggers a retest of 1.1200 (100-day MA). Dollar strength via USD/JPY at 158.10 and soft European equities (DAX -0.6%) pressure EUR near-term.
Neutral
Sep 30, 2026, 8:32 PM
1.1325 rejection warns of near-term consolidation; hold above 1.1300 keeps bulls in control, but a daily close below flips short-term bias to a retest of 1.1220 200-day MA.
Neutral
Sep 30, 2026, 2:04 PM
1.1362 holds with DXY on the back foot; a daily close above 1.1400 opens the 2025 swing high at 1.1500. EUR bid supported by risk-on equities (S&P +0.3%) and elevated Oil/Gold signalling USD rotation out of safe-haven cash.
Bullish
Sep 30, 2026, 4:16 AM
1.1300 acting as near-term floor; a daily close below flips bias bearish toward 1.1200. Fed staying higher-for-longer vs ECB easing bets caps upside at 1.1380–1.1450 resistance band.
Neutral
Sep 29, 2026, 8:47 PM
1.1300 is the immediate line — a daily close below flips near-term momentum bearish and opens 1.1220 (50-day MA). Gold at 4,172 and flat US equities point to cautious dollar demand, not a EUR revival.
Bearish
Sep 29, 2026, 2:04 PM
1.1300 round number holding as near-term floor; break below 1.1250 (50-day MA) flips bias bearish, while reclaim of 1.1400 re-opens 1.1500 2025 swing high. Gold surge to 4,156 adds conflicting safe-haven signals.
Neutral
Sep 29, 2026, 3:42 AM
1.1368 consolidates near multi-year highs; break above 1.1500 opens 1.1600 round-number target. Dollar weakness via Fed pivot narrative underpins EUR, but stalling US equities cap near-term upside momentum.
Bullish
Sep 28, 2026, 8:29 PM
1.1370 trapped in 1.1359–1.1411 range; break below 1.1359 opens 1.1280 50-day MA. NFP Oct 3 is the binary catalyst — beat sends EUR/USD toward 1.1200.
Bearish
Sep 28, 2026, 1:30 PM
1.14 round number caps gains — hold above 1.1300 (50-day MA) to keep the medium-term uptrend intact; a daily close below flips the bias to bearish toward 1.1200.
Neutral
Sep 28, 2026, 4:15 AM
1.1400 is the line in the sand: four consecutive sessions stalling here. Break above opens 1.1500; failure reloads a move toward 1.1200 50-day MA. Flat price action with US equities down 0.4% signals mild USD safe-haven bid capping further EUR gains.
Neutral
Sep 25, 2026, 8:29 PM
Trades below 20-day EMA (1.1501) for a third week running; Friday's bounce to 1.1400 looks corrective — any rally into 1.1420–1.1500 is a potential re-entry short while USD supported by hawkish Fed and rising oil.
Bearish
Sep 25, 2026, 1:29 PM
1.1406 consolidates near multi-month highs; a weekly close above 1.1400 confirms bullish structure and opens 1.1500 as next key resistance. Dollar weakness — evidenced by JPY strength — is the primary fuel.
Bullish
Sep 25, 2026, 3:39 AM
1.1370 holds as intraday floor; break above 1.1400 round number needed to confirm bullish bias — failure keeps 1.1280 Fibonacci 38.2% retracement in play as next downside magnet.
Neutral
Sep 24, 2026, 8:37 PM
1.1400 round number acting as near-term ceiling; break above 1.1450 (2026 swing high) needed to resume trend, while failure at 1.1350 risks a retest of 1.1200 50-day MA.
Neutral
Sep 24, 2026, 1:36 PM
1.14 round number rejected intraday — pair trades 1.1371 with oil at $93.3 lifting USD demand; break above 1.1450 (2026 swing high) needed to confirm bull trend extension toward 1.1550.
Neutral
Sep 24, 2026, 3:40 AM
1.1381 holds but lacks momentum — break above 1.1440 (50-day MA resistance) needed to target 1.1500; failure re-opens 1.1250 swing support. Cross-market: equities soft, Gold flat, Oil -1% mildly USD-supportive.
Neutral
Sep 23, 2026, 8:41 PM
1.1386 trades below 1.14 round number — next key support is the 50-day MA near 1.1320; a close under 1.1350 opens a retest of the 100-day MA at 1.1200. USD/JPY at 158.3 signals the dollar move is broad-based, not EUR-specific.
Bearish
Sep 23, 2026, 1:32 PM
1.1400 now acting as intraday pivot; failure to reclaim 9-EMA at 1.1509 keeps near-term bias short. Next technical floor is Jul swing low at 1.1350.
Bearish
Sep 23, 2026, 3:41 AM
1.1431 holds but momentum fades — break below 1.1380 (50-day MA zone) opens a retest of 1.1200 key support; only a close above 1.1500 re-establishes the bull trend.
Neutral
Sep 22, 2026, 8:28 PM
1.1449 consolidates below the 1.1500 round-number resistance — a daily close above 1.1500 opens 1.1600, while a break of 1.1350 support targets the 50-day MA near 1.1200.
Neutral
Older →
All levels & scenarios live in the app. Get the app→