Analysis archive
Crude Oil (WTI)
Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →
Sep 30, 2026, 8:29 PM
89.89 consolidates just below the 91.50 September swing high — a clean break there targets the 2026 YTD high near 94.00 and puts 97.00 in view within weeks.
Sep 30, 2026, 1:59 PM
$90 reclaimed on 1.57% surge — next technical resistance at $92.50 (Aug swing high). Hold above $89 confirms breakout; failure re-opens $86.80 200-day MA test.
Sep 30, 2026, 4:10 AM
$89–$90 is the fulcrum: SPR release + Saudi export recovery capped Monday's $96.54 spike; diplomacy with Iran determines next $10 move up or down.
Sep 29, 2026, 8:44 PM
88.47 sits in no-man's-land: 50-day MA at 89.20 capping upside, 200-day MA at 85.60 anchoring downside. Break of either level in the next 48 hours sets the directional tone into Q4.
Sep 29, 2026, 1:59 PM
$89.66 holds above 50-day MA ~$87.50 but Saudi pipeline restoration drains the supply-shock premium; Hormuz deal failure before Nov midterms keeps geopolitical floor intact — range-trade between $87 and $96.
Sep 29, 2026, 3:39 AM
Hormuz tanker strikes Mon night are the dominant driver — two supertankers hit exiting strait; Iran deal before Nov midterms now off the table per Iranian officials, locking in supply-risk bid.
Sep 28, 2026, 8:25 PM
Hold $92 — Hormuz standoff unresolved, Trump rejected Iran proposal; Yanbu loadings resumed but pipeline at 50% capacity (3.5 of 7 mn bpd), keeping $95–97 in play this week.
Sep 28, 2026, 1:26 PM
$93.31 breaks above $92.50 prior swing high — next resistance is $95.00 round number. Hold above $92.50 on any pullback confirms the level as new support; failure resets to $90.00.
Sep 28, 2026, 4:09 AM
92.30 holds as equities drop — WTI outperforming risk assets signals genuine supply tightness, not just risk-on flows. Break above $93.80 (Sept swing high) opens $96-$97 range.
Sep 25, 2026, 8:25 PM
Break above 93.50 (Aug swing high) opens 96.00 — momentum is constructive while price trades above the 90-day MA at 89.20, but a weekly close below $91 would warn of a fade.
Sep 25, 2026, 1:26 PM
$92.02 breach of 50-day MA at $93.50 shifts near-term bias bearish; next key floor is the 200-day MA at $89.40. Reclaim of $93.50 needed to neutralise the sell signal.
Sep 25, 2026, 3:36 AM
$93.00 flipped to resistance — hold below it keeps bears in control; next firm floor is the 200-day MA at $89.80. Friday close below $92.20 (50-day MA) opens the $88–$89 range.
Sep 24, 2026, 8:35 PM
94.94 consolidates below 97.00 — break above unlocks 100.00 psychological target; hold above 92.50 (200-day MA) keeps the bullish thesis valid and dip-buyers engaged.
Sep 24, 2026, 1:33 PM
93.31 tests the Aug swing high at 93.50 — break and close above opens 95.00 round number then the 2026 YTD high at 97.40. Equities sliding (-0.4% S&P) limits risk appetite but USD softness (EUR/USD 1.1371) supports commodity demand.
Sep 24, 2026, 3:36 AM
$91.05 sits between the 50-day MA near $90.20 and the $93.50 supply zone. Lose $90.20 and the next floor is the $87.80 August swing low — a clean 3.5% downside open from here.
Sep 23, 2026, 8:37 PM
$92.55 holds as Hormuz risk premium reasserts — Iran's UNGA rejection of nuclear limits and two struck supertankers on Sep 22 make a diplomatic de-escalation the key variable, not demand.
Sep 23, 2026, 1:26 PM
$90.89 trades just below the key $92 resistance (Aug swing high); Hormuz disruption risk keeps a floor under price — break above $92 opens $96–$98 corridor.
Sep 23, 2026, 3:38 AM
$90 lost intraday — next hard support is the 200-day MA at $87.40; a close beneath $89 opens a move to $85.60 Aug swing low. OPEC+ spare capacity and USD firmness cap upside near $91.20.
Sep 22, 2026, 8:25 PM
$89.20 (50-day MA) is the line in the sand — a daily close below it opens $86.50 gap support. Gold +0.4% and silver +1.7% today signal macro unease, not oil-bullish reflation.
Sep 22, 2026, 1:24 PM
$90 round number flipped to resistance on today's close; next structural support is $87.40 (50-day MA). Divergence from rising equities flags demand-side pressure as the dominant driver, not supply.
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