Crude Oil (WTI) — Analysis Archive

81.61 stalls between 200-day MA near 79.50 and 2026 swing high at 84.10 — direction hinges on OPEC supply signals.

Stalled at 81.00 round number; IEA Q3 supply-deficit upgrade vs. 17.4 mb inventory build creates two-way risk

$80.59 holds 50-day MA — Hormuz resolution or breakdown needed to break the $78–$83 range either way.

Strait of Hormuz negotiations deadlocked — resolution would crater price; IEA sees Q3 supply deficit doubling

80.35 snaps 5-day rally — Hormuz deal stalled, 17.4 mb inventory build crushes near-term bull case

$80.50 (50-day MA) now the line in the sand — close below opens $78 retest; Hormuz outcome drives next $5 move.

81.37 snaps five-session advance — Hormuz stalemate and speculative long liquidation expose $79.50 50-day MA.

Break above $84.61 overnight high opens door to $87 Brent parity zone; Hormuz deadlock is the only driver.

$81.83 holds above 50-day MA ~$80.50; Hormuz resolution deal would crater price, closure extension targets $87+.

$83.08 holds after 4-day rally; Strait of Hormuz blockade intact — break above $84.61 opens $87 Brent parity.

Hormuz risk premium re-priced higher: US-Iran talks stalled, Houthi strike on Saudi refinery adds second supply shock.

$80.93 caught between Hormuz deal optimism (bearish) and SPR at 43-yr low — range-bound until diplomatic clarity.

$82.13 Monday close now acts as near-term pivot — hold above $80 key round level to keep bull structure intact.

$81.33 trapped between Hormuz risk premium and deal-progress selloff risk — direction hinges on US-Iran talks

Hormuz talks stall — no Iran-Oman deal signed; $79 resistance caps bounce off $55 52-week low zone.

77.80 sits mid-range: $75.10 demand zone held last week; $80 round number blocks upside until Hormuz resolves.

76.38 holds demand zone ($75.10–$75.80) by a thread — break opens path to $73 Oct 2025 swing low.

76.10 trapped between Hormuz headline risk and inventory overhang — break of $74.50 200-day MA opens drop to $71.

77.49 holds as geopolitical premium builds — Hormuz partial deal restricts key Gulf exporters, supply tail risk remains elevated.

77.04 holds after 3-day sell-off — Hormuz draft deal caps upside; EIA inventory build adds bearish weight.