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Neutral
USD/CHF
Archived analysis from Jul 21, 2026, 8:28 PM
The pair broke a symmetrical triangle to the downside on 20 July but is recovering toward the 0.8100 pivot — a close above 0.8103 (today's intraday high) is needed to invalidate the bearish pattern signal and re-target the 0.8173 52-week high.
USD/CHF is trading at 0.8100, caught between a symmetrical triangle breakdown on the M30 chart and a broader monthly recovery from the 0.7604 52-week low, leaving near-term direction unresolved.
Main Risk
UBS year-end USDCHF target of 0.7800
UBS Switzerland forecasts USDCHF at 0.78 by December 2026, implying a further ~3.7% decline from current levels and acting as a persistent ceiling on institutional dollar buying.
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