USD/CAD — Analysis Archive

1.3900 is the line in the sand — break below 1.3850 (100-day MA) opens 1.3700; only a DXY recovery above 103 flips the bias back to USD bulls.

1.3900 round-number support tested — break opens 1.3780 200-day MA; reclaim of 1.3950 needed to stabilise.

1.3900 held as two-month support; break below opens 1.3750, break above 1.3960 targets 1.4050 Aug pivot

1.3900 support held twice — break below opens 1.3750; hold above 1.3960 resistance needed to confirm USD recovery

1.3900 held as two-month support — PPI beat today needed to break 1.3960 and extend recovery to 1.4020.

1.3900 holding as pivot; break below opens 1.3820 — strong CAD jobs + soft US payrolls shift the data divergence trade.

1.39 tested as data divergence builds; break below eyes 1.3850 Aug swing low — USD needs CPI upside to recover.

1.3920 prior support now pivotal; reclaim above 1.4050 needed to neutralise bearish data divergence.

Break below 1.3918 overnight low confirms bearish trend; US CPI today is the binary pivot for near-term direction.

1.3900 holds as June low floor; 100-period SMA at 1.4019 now acts as hard resistance capping any recovery.

1.3900 is the critical floor; break below opens 1.3820. Dense supply at 1.4019–1.4032 (100/200-period SMAs) caps any USD recovery.

1.3900 is the line in the sand — break below opens 1.3750 (200-day MA); 1.4019 100-SMA caps any bounce.

1.3900 is live floor — hold triggers sub-1.39 extension; reclaim of 1.4020 needed to flip tone bullish.

1.3926 horizontal support breaking lower targets 1.3750 June swing low; pair rejected hard at 1.4019–1.4032 SMA cluster.

1.3900 holds as near-term floor; break below opens June 2026 low near 1.3780 as next technical target

1.4000 round-number anchor holds both directions — break of 1.3930 or 1.4120 needed to set next trend leg

1.4000 capping rallies — CAD jobs beat + Fed hold narrative pressures USDCAD toward 1.3850 200-day MA.

1.3900 tested as support; break below opens 1.3820 200-day MA. NFP & Canada jobs today are the binary trigger.

1.3900 tested as support; NFP + Canada jobs today decide whether pullback extends to 1.3830 or reverses to 1.4080.

1.4000 acts as pivot — break below opens 1.3870; reclaim of 1.4080 weekly high targets 1.4150 next.