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S&P 500

Bullish

Archived analysis from Aug 14, 2026, 3:28 AM

7,800 now first support; ATH extension to 7,900 open if Sep Fed hike odds stay below 40% on Warsh watch.

Cleared 7,800 for first time ever Thursday; CPI 3.4% YoY matched forecasts, Sep hike odds below 40%.

Main Risk

Fed Sep rate hike / Warsh hawkish pivot

Sep hike odds near 40%; Warsh debut adds policy uncertainty above 7,800 breakout.

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