Analysis archive

S&P 500

Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →

Sep 30, 2026, 8:21 PM
7,661 consolidates just below the round 7,700 barrier — a clean weekly close above flips momentum to the 7,900 Fibonacci extension target. Europe red and gold softer signal mild risk-off globally, but US indices hold firm.
Bullish
Sep 30, 2026, 1:46 PM
7,700 round-number resistance is the line in the sand: a clean daily close above it reopens 7,850 (2026 Fib extension), while rejection risks a rotation back to 7,550 (50-day MA). Oil at $90 adds margin pressure to consumer names.
Bullish
Sep 30, 2026, 3:56 AM
5.26% 10-yr yield vs. 7,684 S&P: index flat on the quarter after Sept volatility. PCE and ADP prints today are the binary triggers — a hot read reopens the 7,500 path; a soft read clears 7,750.
Neutral
Sep 29, 2026, 8:36 PM
7,675 consolidates below the round 7,700 ceiling — a clean close above opens 7,800+; Gold's +1.4% surge alongside flat equities flags macro hedging, not panic.
Bullish
Sep 29, 2026, 1:46 PM
7,695 holds after Monday's geopolitical selloff — PCE Thu and NFP Fri are the binary catalysts; a hot print on either pushes yields above 5.2% and retests 7,600 support.
Neutral
Sep 29, 2026, 3:30 AM
5.26% 10-year yield acts as gravity on S&P multiples; break above 7,750 resistance needed to flip near-term tone. Micron Q4 tonight is the binary AI read-across — miss risks a tech-led flush toward 7,550.
Bearish
Sep 28, 2026, 8:17 PM
7,682 holds intraday but Sep month-end at 7,743 is now resistance; break below 50-day MA ~7,620 opens path to 7,500 round number. Nvidia $150bn buyback limits tech damage.
Bearish
Sep 28, 2026, 1:18 PM
7,800 resistance stalls the rally; break above forces a run at 8,000. Below 7,650 (50-day MA) flips near-term bias bearish. Oil at $93 and USD/JPY at 157 are the swing factors to watch.
Neutral
Sep 28, 2026, 3:56 AM
7,704 Sep low is the line in the sand — close below it confirms breakdown and opens 7,600 50-day MA. October Fed hike risk + 5.18% 10-yr yield cap any near-term upside beyond 7,780 Aug resistance.
Bearish
Sep 25, 2026, 8:18 PM
7,800 round-number resistance caps the rally; break above opens 7,950 (2026 ATH zone), while failure risks a retest of 7,550 (50-day MA). USD/JPY drop of -1.0% adds currency vol.
Neutral
Sep 25, 2026, 1:18 PM
7,765 Sep high is the immediate ceiling — break above confirms range escape; failure keeps the 7,700–7,765 chop alive. Oil crash to $92 from $107 is the wildcard easing inflation pressure today.
Neutral
Sep 25, 2026, 3:29 AM
5.135% 10-year yield is the anchor — every rally since Sept 22 has failed below 7,770; index needs yield to break back under 5.0% to sustain any bid above 7,750.
Bearish
Sep 24, 2026, 8:27 PM
7,700 capping upside; break above opens 7,850 (Aug 2026 swing high). Failure below 7,580 (50-day MA) shifts bias bearish into Q4.
Neutral
Sep 24, 2026, 1:26 PM
7,700 round resistance caps the rally — break above confirms extension toward 7,850; failure risks a retest of 7,500 50-day MA. Oil at $93 tightens the margin outlook for rate-sensitive sectors.
Neutral
Sep 24, 2026, 3:29 AM
7,700 round-number resistance capping near-term upside; hold above 7,550 (50-day MA) keeps bull structure intact, but a close below flips short-term bias bearish toward 7,400 gap support.
Neutral
Sep 23, 2026, 8:28 PM
7,706 consolidates at record territory — USD strength (EUR/USD -0.6%) and oil at $92.6 signal reflation, supporting earnings revisions. Break above 7,800 opens 8,000 psychological target.
Bullish
Sep 23, 2026, 1:19 PM
7,764 Sep 22 close is the near-term ceiling; hold above 7,700 (50-day MA) to stay constructive. Break of 5% 10-yr yield and Iran ceasefire deal could unlock 8,000+.
Neutral
Sep 23, 2026, 3:30 AM
7,767 flatlines in tight consolidation above the 7,700 round-number pivot — a daily close above 7,800 targets the 8,000 psychological resistance; failure under 7,700 resets risk to 7,550.
Bullish
Sep 22, 2026, 8:18 PM
7,765 consolidates after a multi-month grind higher — gold at $4,360 and silver +1.7% signal risk-on rotation; sustained close above 7,800 opens 8,000 measured extension.
Bullish
Sep 22, 2026, 1:17 PM
7,800 round-number resistance is the line in the sand — a daily close above it opens 8,000. Nasdaq flat while Dow +0.7% confirms healthy sector rotation; oil -3.2% is a net macro tailwind for consumer and transport stocks.
Bullish
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