Nasdaq 100
BullishArchived analysis from Oct 1, 2026, 3:30 AM
Key insight
30,600 resistance cluster tested — break and close above opens path to 31,500 measured from the Q2 2026 consolidation base; failure recycles back to 29,800 50-day MA.
Holds 30,596 — up 0.58% on the day with S&P 500 also advancing; index trades well above its 200-day MA near 27,800, confirming intact uptrend.
Main risk
USD/JPY at 158 — yen carry unwind risk
USD/JPY at 158.1 — any BOJ intervention or yen spike could trigger rapid tech deleveraging, as seen in Aug 2024.
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