Nasdaq 100

Bullish

Archived analysis from Sep 25, 2026, 8:19 PM

Key insight

30,614 trades flat on the day but sits at critical inflection: break above 31,000 round number opens 32,500 Q1 2026 swing high. Failure below 30,000 exposes 29,800 200-day MA.

30,614 holds above the 200-day MA near 29,800 — index up ~40% from 2025 lows with S&P 500 at 7,741 confirming broad risk-on breadth.

Main risk

USD/JPY carry unwind risk

USD/JPY -1.0% to 157.3 today — rapid yen strength historically triggers tech deleveraging; watch 155 support.

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