Nasdaq 100

Neutral

Archived analysis from Sep 16, 2026, 3:29 AM

Key insight

29,000 round-number support holding, but index down 5.26% over 3 months — needs a clean break above 29,450 (50-day MA) to shift momentum; failure here risks re-test of 28,100 Aug swing low.

29,024 sits 5.6% below the Jun 3 all-time high of 30,762 after the worst monthly loss since Mar 2025, with rising Treasury yields and Nadella's AI slowdown call capping recovery attempts.

Main risk

Rising Treasury Yields & Oil at $100

10-yr yield pressure + oil at $100 compresses growth multiples; Archer/Joby slide flagged yields as direct tech headwind on Sep 14.

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