Nasdaq 100
NeutralArchived analysis from Sep 14, 2026, 8:41 PM
Key insight
29,140 is no-man's land — 600pts below the 50-day MA near 29,750 and 1,620pts off the 30,762 June high; reclaim 29,750 to reinstate bullish momentum or risk drift to 28,400 Aug swing low.
Stalled 5.6% below June 3 all-time high of 30,762 after worst monthly loss since Mar 2025; rising oil ($98.3) and USD/JPY at 154.4 signal Treasury yield headwinds offsetting AI chip deal tailwinds.
Main risk
Rising Treasury Yields / Oil at $98
USD/JPY at 154.4 and oil $98.3 signal bond market repricing; 10yr yield pressure compresses NDX multiples fast at these valuations.
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