Nasdaq 100

Neutral

Archived analysis from Aug 26, 2026, 8:20 PM

Key insight

Nvidia earnings (Aug 27) and Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech collide this week — together they set the trajectory for tech through September. Chip weakness (SOXX -2.7% Mon) already punishes complacency; a miss or hawkish signal targets 28,500.

29,294 holds above 200-day MA but momentum stocks lag 21/50/200-day resistance; Nvidia earnings and Fed Warsh's Jackson Hole speech are binary catalysts within 48 hours.

Main risk

Nvidia Earnings + Warsh Jackson Hole

Miss on Nvidia guidance or hawkish Warsh tone Aug 27-28 could snap momentum; SOXX already -2.7% this week, 28,500 support exposed.

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