Nasdaq 100

Bullish

Archived analysis from Aug 17, 2026, 1:48 PM

Key insight

30,000 round number now acts as a live floor — a daily close above it keeps the bull structure intact and targets the 2025 high at 31,200. Lose it and the 200-day MA near 28,800 becomes the next test.

30,120 holds above the 30,000 round-number base; Nasdaq leads S&P 500 and Dow on the day, confirming tech-sector rotation leadership in a risk-on Monday session.

Main risk

USD/JPY at 159.3 — carry-trade stress

159.3 is historically elevated; any BoJ intervention or yield-curve shift triggers rapid yen strength, unwinding leveraged Nasdaq longs fast.

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