Nasdaq 100
BullishArchived analysis from Aug 17, 2026, 3:27 AM
Key insight
30,000 round number acting as short-term pivot; break and hold above 30,500 opens path to 31,000 psychological target. Failure below 29,800 (50-day MA zone) flips near-term bias.
Holds 30,133 with S&P 500 at record 7,788 — mega-cap tech leadership intact, gold at $4,390 confirming risk-on tone despite USD/JPY at 159 signalling yen stress.
Main risk
USD/JPY at 159 — yen carry unwind risk
Yen at 159 keeps carry trade fragile; rapid JPY strength above 155 could trigger forced tech selling as seen in Aug 2024.
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