EUR/USD

Neutral

Archived analysis from Oct 1, 2026, 3:39 AM

Key insight

1.1300 pivot holds for now — a daily close below triggers a retest of 1.1200 (100-day MA). Dollar strength via USD/JPY at 158.10 and soft European equities (DAX -0.6%) pressure EUR near-term.

Holding 1.1325 but fading from 2026 highs near 1.1500; USD/JPY +0.5% signals broad dollar bid that caps EUR upside at 1.1380 near-term resistance.

Main risk

USD/JPY strength signalling dollar demand

USD/JPY at 158.10 (+0.5%) reflects broad dollar buying; sustained move targets EURUSD 1.1200 100-day MA.

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