EUR/USD
BullishArchived analysis from Sep 30, 2026, 2:04 PM
Key insight
1.1362 holds with DXY on the back foot; a daily close above 1.1400 opens the 2025 swing high at 1.1500. EUR bid supported by risk-on equities (S&P +0.3%) and elevated Oil/Gold signalling USD rotation out of safe-haven cash.
Holds 1.1362 with USD broadly soft — USD/JPY -0.3% confirms dollar weakness; EUR/USD sitting above the 1.13 round number and building toward the 2025 swing high near 1.15.
Main risk
Fed hawkish surprise at next FOMC
Surprise Fed hold or hawkish statement could lift DXY back above 103, forcing EUR/USD below 1.1300 and invalidating the bull structure.
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