EUR/USD

Bullish

Archived analysis from Sep 29, 2026, 3:42 AM

Key insight

1.1368 consolidates near multi-year highs; break above 1.1500 opens 1.1600 round-number target. Dollar weakness via Fed pivot narrative underpins EUR, but stalling US equities cap near-term upside momentum.

1.1368 holds above 1.13 structural support — EUR bulls retain control while USD softens on rate-cut expectations, keeping the 2026 uptrend intact.

Main risk

Fed hawkish surprise / USD reversal

Stronger-than-expected US data forces Fed to delay cuts, driving DXY above 102 and snapping EUR/USD below 1.1300 support.

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