EUR/USD
NeutralArchived analysis from Sep 28, 2026, 1:30 PM
Key insight
1.14 round number caps gains — hold above 1.1300 (50-day MA) to keep the medium-term uptrend intact; a daily close below flips the bias to bearish toward 1.1200.
Pulls back -0.24% to 1.1364, stalling below the 1.14 round number; dollar firms as US equities slide and oil surges to $93.3, compressing risk appetite and EUR upside.
Main risk
Oil spike feeding USD safe-haven bid
Oil +1.8% to $93.3 raises US inflation expectations, firms the dollar, and pressures EUR/USD below 1.14 resistance.
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