CAC 40

Neutral

Archived analysis from Sep 30, 2026, 1:55 PM

Key insight

7,988 holds above the 8,000 round number but fails to reclaim it — break below 7,950 (50-day MA) would confirm near-term distribution; hold above 8,000 keeps the bull structure intact into Q4.

Stalling at 7,988 — DAX also red (-0.3%) while S&P holds green; CAC underperforms on EUR/USD strength at 1.1362 squeezing export earnings for luxury and industrial heavyweights.

Main risk

EUR/USD at 1.1362, multi-year high

EUR strength cuts export margins for LVMH, Airbus, TotalEnergies — CAC's top weights. Each 1% EUR gain shaves ~1.5% off index EPS consensus.

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