CAC 40

Neutral

Archived analysis from Sep 22, 2026, 3:32 AM

Key insight

8,150 acts as the pivot: a close above 8,250 resistance opens 8,500; a break below 8,000 exposes the 200-day MA near 7,850. EUR strength at 1.1471 is the swing factor for luxury and auto earnings.

Holds 8,149 with a flat +0.1% session — trapped between the 8,000 round-number floor and the 8,250 prior swing high, with EUR/USD at 1.1471 squeezing export margins.

Main risk

EUR/USD at 14-month highs

EUR/USD at 1.1471 compresses revenues for LVMH, Stellantis, and Airbus — CAC's top exporters. Each +1% EUR/USD move shaves ~0.5% off index EPS.

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