CAC 40
BearishArchived analysis from Sep 17, 2026, 8:23 PM
Key insight
8,118 Wed bounce fails to reclaim 8,200 — index trapped below 50-day MA at ~8,250 with CAC VIX at 52-week high of 18.96, signalling persistent hedging demand ahead of Fed decision outcome.
Rejected from 8,367 early-Sept high; now -2.5% off that peak. Four-month low at 8,090 breached Tuesday before partial recovery. ECB 25bps hike and elevated Bund yields cap upside.
Main risk
Middle East Escalation & Oil Spike
Hormuz Strait conflict drives Brent above $105; ECB warns inflation stays above 2% target, keeping rates higher for longer and compressing French equity multiples.
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