CAC 40

Key insight

8,090 Sep 15 low is the line in the sand — hold it and the bounce extends; lose it and the 200-day MA near 7,950 becomes the next magnet with Fed decision adding binary intraday risk.

Rebounds +0.48% to 8,136 from Tue's 4-month low at 8,090, but ECB's 25bps hike and Strait of Hormuz tensions cap upside near 8,200 resistance.

Main risk

Fed Rate Decision — 16 Sep 2026

93% consensus for 25bps; hawkish guidance on extended hold would spike EUR/USD vol and reprice European risk assets sharply lower.