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AUD/USD

Bullish

Archived analysis from Aug 17, 2026, 3:42 AM

0.7100 confirmed as new floor; break above 0.7150 (2025 swing high) opens 0.7200 round number. USD softness and firm commodities keep the path of least resistance higher near-term.

Holds 0.7100 — a multi-year resistance-turned-support level — with USD/JPY at 159.1 signalling broad USD softness; risk-on equities and gold at $4,390 underpin AUD commodity-currency bid.

Main Risk

China demand deterioration

Slowdown in Chinese industrial output hits AUD via iron ore; a drop below $100/t ore would pressure 0.6950 support.

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