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Neutral
AUD/USD
Archived analysis from Aug 3, 2026, 1:30 PM
The pair has rejected the 100-day SMA at 0.7050 — a clean break above that level on volume would signal continuation toward the 2026 high at 0.7279, while failure keeps the pair in consolidation between 0.6950 and 0.7050.
AUD/USD is stalling at the 100-day SMA (~0.7050) after a strong rally, with a -0.47% pullback today as USD recovers from multi-week lows and China's Manufacturing PMI disappoints.
Main Risk
China Manufacturing PMI Miss
A softer-than-expected China Manufacturing PMI reading is pressuring the AUD directly, given Australia's deep export dependency on Chinese demand for iron ore and coal.
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