AUD/USD
Archived analysis from Jul 31, 2026, 1:23 PM
The pair is at a technically and psychologically pivotal level — 0.7000 is a multi-month battle line, and a sustained close above it is needed to confirm continuation toward the 2026 swing high at 0.7279, otherwise profit-taking and USD safe-haven flows risk a swift reversal to 0.6900.
AUD/USD has reclaimed the key 0.7000 round number and sits at a six-week high, but the bull run faces friction from a hawkish Fed dissent (3 of 12 voting for hikes), soft Australian CPI, and a safe-haven USD bid on fresh Middle East strikes.
Main Risk
USD Safe-Haven Bid — US Strikes on Iran / Middle East Escalation
Fresh US military strikes on Iran this week have reignited a haven bid for the USD; any further escalation could compress AUD/USD back below the 0.6950 prior resistance, invalidating the recent breakout.