🇯🇵
Bearish
USD/JPY
Archived analysis from Aug 17, 2026, 3:40 AM
159.08 holds below the 160.00 round-number ceiling; a daily close above 160.50 (July swing high) is needed to flip bias bullish — absent that, downside to 155.00 200-day MA stays open.
159.08 sits 3% below the 2024 peak of 161.95, with BOJ rate-hike cycle intact and USD rally momentum fading — yen carry unwind risk tilts the pair lower near-term.
Main Risk
BOJ surprise rate hike
Unscheduled BOJ tightening above 0.5% policy rate would spike yen demand, driving USDJPY through 155.00 support fast.
Levels, scenarios & outlook are only available in the app — for all analyses, including archived ones.
Get the App