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USD/JPY

Bearish

Archived analysis from Aug 6, 2026, 2:13 PM

157.86 stalls below dual SMA wall (159.85 / 161.78); BOJ rate-hike signals + Bessent intervention pledge cap every USD bounce.

Capped below 100-period SMA at 159.85; joint US-Japan intervention keeps upside suppressed.

Main Risk

Fed Warsh fewer-meetings pivot

Fewer FOMC meetings reduce rate-cut signals, lifting USD and pushing USDJPY back toward 160.

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