Analysis archive
Dow Jones
Recommendation history — all past assessments at a glance. View current analysis →
Sep 30, 2026, 8:24 PM
51,000 round-number resistance is the immediate test; a daily close above it opens 51,800 extension target. Breadth remains positive with S&P 500 and Nasdaq aligned higher on same session.
Sep 30, 2026, 1:50 PM
51,500 round number holds as intraday resistance — softer PCE lifts futures but Dow is -3.5% in September, lagging S&P; needs close above 51,800 to reverse monthly trend.
Sep 30, 2026, 4:00 AM
51,537 trades above all major MAs — next inflection is 52,000 round number resistance. Failure to clear it within sessions risks a pullback to 50,800 50-day MA support.
Sep 29, 2026, 8:38 PM
51,350 close confirms two-day rejection of 51,780 intraday high — bond rout, Boeing implosion, and Iran-Strait risk combine to cap any recovery until 10yr yield retreats below 5%.
Sep 29, 2026, 1:50 PM
51,529 consolidates just below the 52,000 round-number resistance; a close above it opens 53,200. Gold surging to $4,156 while Oil drops 2.2% to $89.7 supports Dow's defensive-heavy weighting over growth-led Nasdaq.
Sep 29, 2026, 3:32 AM
51,350 Sept low is the line in the sand — a close below flips the near-term trend; PCE Wed + NFP Fri will determine whether the 5% yield regime is here to stay.
Sep 28, 2026, 8:20 PM
51,500 round-number cap stalls momentum — bull case needs a clean close above 52,000 to confirm extension; below 50,800 (50-day MA) flips short-term bias negative.
Sep 28, 2026, 1:19 PM
51,200 (50-day MA) is the pivot — break below confirms rotation out of blue-chips; hold above keeps the all-time-high retest at 52,500 alive into Q4 earnings season.
Sep 28, 2026, 4:00 AM
51,653 wedged between 50-day MA support (~51,200) and all-time-high resistance at ~52,000; Gold -2% and BTC -1.2% signal broad risk-off that could weigh if 51,200 cracks.
Sep 25, 2026, 8:20 PM
51,825 stalls below the 52,000 round-number resistance; a sustained break above clears the path to all-time highs near 53,000, but oil at $92.3 squeezes margins for Dow's industrial and consumer names.
Sep 25, 2026, 1:20 PM
51,547 trades just beneath the 52,000 round-number resistance; a weekly close above that level opens a measured run toward the 2026 ATH zone at 53,200.
Sep 25, 2026, 3:31 AM
51,350 is live battle-line: three consecutive closes below signal trend breakdown; NY Fed's Williams flagging another rate hike is the single biggest headwind keeping bulls pinned.
Sep 24, 2026, 8:29 PM
51,350 prior-session low now acts as immediate resistance — hold above 51,000 round number is the only near-term bull case; failure opens 50,200 200-day MA.
Sep 24, 2026, 1:28 PM
51,511 Wednesday close now flipped to resistance; Dow has shed ~2,300 pts from 53,686 Sept peak as hot PMI (58.4) and weak Treasury auction drove yields to multi-decade highs. Hold below 51,700 keeps bears in control.
Sep 24, 2026, 3:31 AM
51,441 stalls in the 51,000–52,000 consolidation band; break above 52,000 (2026 round-number resistance) needed to confirm bull continuation, else mean-reversion to 50,200 50-day MA zone is the default path.
Sep 23, 2026, 8:30 PM
51,462 post-hike low is the line in the sand: Fed hiked Sept 16, Warsh flagged further tightening, 10Y yield at 5.0% — Dow has recovered but stalled 40 pts above that level for 5 sessions.
Sep 23, 2026, 1:21 PM
51,671 holds above the 50-day MA near 51,000 but momentum fades; a close below 51,000 flips near-term bias bearish and opens a test of 50,200 rising trend support.
Sep 23, 2026, 3:32 AM
51,921 consolidates in a tight range; 52,500 round-number resistance is the next test. Failure to clear it within 5 sessions risks a mean-reversion back to 51,200 (50-day MA).
Sep 22, 2026, 8:19 PM
52,000 round-number ceiling caps upside — four consecutive sessions without a close above it. Gold at $4,360 and oil at $89.6 suggest stagflation risk rising, a headwind for Dow's cyclical-heavy composition.
Sep 22, 2026, 1:19 PM
52,406 leads large-caps today (+0.68% vs S&P +0.1%); break above 52,800 all-time high zone opens 53,500. Oil -3.2% cuts input costs for industrials, adding tailwind to Dow's heavy-industry tilt.
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